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Saying 'the extinction rate is orders of magnitude higher' is false logic.
Higher than when? It's higher than some and lower than others. Yes, seawater IS an excellent source of deuterium and a lesser source of tritium, but still a source. He-3 is also abundant on the moon. Once again you ignore facts - fusion reactions are run today, they do not need some mythical material you claim does not exist. Nobody said anything about being free except for you - something being free works entirely against the concept of supply and demand. Once again you deliberately misunderstand the singularity. People are not going to start disappearing in some mythological crap - it is the point at which understanding becomes unlimited - that means benefits for the environment. Anyway, if people can't keep this thread on topic and certain people want to turn it into rant number 500 about how much they hate things, it has become unrecoverable. The original post was about Avatar, and NOT about ridiculous romanticised views of 'anyone but us is automatically good'. |
speaking of eywa, I think I need to run into the woods, and keep running till I'm to tired to run anymore again. That is the best.
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And seriously, I do not even understand what you are talking about. This is total science fiction. I can make up a story, too if I like to - about some future that could happen if.... that is however fiction - maybe it is probably or possible fiction, but still it is fiction. Quote:
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And the mythical material that is missing yet is the one that can actually capture the energy emitted. What they maanged as of now is to sustain a few seconds od fusion - the rest of the technology is as of now missing Quote:
I know that some people do not see this, want to describe this all as a matter of mechanistic physics and programmed reactions. But what is the human brain but a network of cells that exchange electrical signals - all physics and simple biology, how can that be alive and sentient. And yes, that was a bit sarcastic, because of course I realize that humans are sentient, but I do not see why the ability to take something back to its physical and chemical roots diminishes its value as a being that is sentient. So the physical world around us communicates with us all the time - how dare we say that this is nothing, that this is not the product of a living, thinking, feeling entity? Just because we have forgotten to listen, to SEE and to feel. Like the infamous three monkeys we stand in a world full of voice and color and ignore the communication towards us and refuse to communicate back. And it is this world, that communicates to us that my allegiance is with. This is why I am getting into a rant if I meet people who ignore this, who diminish the value of this communication and existence, who claim to be superior, god-like, creators and think they are entitled to determine how everything should be because they are the only ones who understand, who are sentient and intelligent, who are powerful and who are alone in that, while in fact the consequences of that thinking ruin the beautiful being that is our planet, just as the bulldozers ruined the place that was shown in the first post. :'( |
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Like I said, the RDA did not utilize the resources available to them and/or were limited by PR. Taking a mass of rock is not that difficult now, let alone with 140 years of robotics technology. The Na'vi can do absolutely nothing about unmanned robotics. Quote:
You start with seawater and your actual fusion reactor. You electrolyze it, sort out by mass, and that gives you your deutrium. You stick that into your reactor, fuse it, and sell off the resulting helium. (Sorting by isotope if people are pansies. :P) That's a theoretical energy gain of 110x. In practice, it'll probably be 10-20x. Quote:
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Ewya is orders of magnitude more organized than Earth's systems. You need that sort of organization to be communicative. |
Clarke, I will put the replies to the offtopic stuff in a seperate post.
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Why is it so hard to draw a comparison between the two - in that in both cases the world is alive, communicating and reacting. If people go and cut 50 trees in the forest, the living world reacts, creates grass and bushes and eventually trees. If people cut more, maybe the trees do not return and it will be a savannah or grassland - in any case it is a reaction of life. I think people are too hung up on electrical impulses as a means of communication. In analogy to your words before, I could say that a human brain is not "a thing" - it is a multitude of things all acting together, and the only organization is evolution and the only means of communication is electrical impulses. After all humans are also a product of evolution and even within the brain, those neural connections that are unused will (brutally?) wither and die while new ones are created. Yet what comes out of it is more than the sum of its parts - a human being, a human mind, a wealth of knowledge, learned behaviour, self awareness, consciousness. What is the basis of denying the living world this feature, that the sum of its trillions of parts is not all there is. In fact I would go further and say that human brains are even limited int hat they only use electrical impulses. The living world we are inside of is not that limited. It can use light and sound and smell and touch to communicate. The color of a tree, the sound of a bird, the smell of a flower carry far and fast and are perceived by others, who may reacto upon them. And humans participate in that crescendo of communication by speaking and creating colors and artwork and music, by touching and interacting with other beings. And at the same time we ourselves are free - our very individual reaction to these communications, our actions take part in that whole. And it saddens me deeply, that a lot of the communication of humans is only with other humans or with the objects that are shaped by humans. Its like an enclosed part of the world that has lost communication with most other parts. We need to communicate again, listen to what the world around us has to say to us. Just like the NA'Vi on Pandora cannot "plug in" and talk to Eywa, so can we not do this here. Just like them, we have to rely on other forms of communication. Eywa talks to the people by the bahaviour of animals and plants, by the appearance of seeds of the sacred tree, by the colorful Auroras in the sky, by the shapes of the arches, by the glowing of the bioluminescent forest. Earth talks to the people by similar but distinctly different means. The change in color of the leafs of the trees talk about the coming winter, the shape of the clouds in the sky tell a story about the coming rain, the appearance or disappearance of animals or plants from a place are mysterious but meaningful. Science sometimes deciphers one of these messages, but these are always only bits and pieces. |
Now to the more boring part of hickhacking on offtopic stuff ;) :
Clarke, you seem to be quite hung up on what I would call a religion of technology, that not much can convince you. The point I was trying to make is that you as well as many others who think that way are operating on hope and speculation. You take current technologies and some short time trends and cook up a future that is near perfect. With spacefaring posthumans that are wise and enlightened and have immense capabilities but are showing great stewardship and compassion and all that. That is a nice SciFi fantasy, but it compares to the idea of heaven in religion. You even use the same rhethoric: Quote:
So i will give you that this is a possible future maybe - but it is lunacy in my opinion to operate under the assumption that this is what will happen. What counts is what is and learning from what was, but to create possible futures in the mind and then assert that this is what is going to happen is hybris. We cannot know the future. And I think it is explicitly dmaging to create such a future by only projecting technology into that timeframe and just apply wishful thinking to the social and behavioural aspects. I am pretty sure that people in 13th century Europe would, if told the technological "advances" that have happened since then would certainly have thought that this must be a wonderful world. A world without poverty, without the need to work, with plenty of leisure time and time for festivals and dances and song. A world of freedom. Yet what happened was that technology changed, but society took a different route. There are more people living in poverty, more inequality, not really less work, more depression and so on. The people in the 1960ies thought if the trend goes on, by the year 2000 robots would do the work and the father of the family who brings in the money will have to work less hours for the same money. Instead now his wife works the same hours as he does and still the money barely pays the bills. The problem I have is that despite all technological changes, society, economics, politics and behaviour in general operates independent from that. Technology is a result of these behavioural systems much more than it is creator of them - and certainly it is not a net positive force - it is a reenforcement instead. It fortifies the behaviour and sociology that created it. A liberating technology comes from a liberal society. Technology is not some outside force, like a god, that makes society or people better, more moral, more just - it is a product of human society and thus it is a reflection, an echo of that society. To hope (or pray) for it to create a heaven, a paradise - even if that requires a rupture called singularity after which the reign of a highly moral and ethical bigger-than-us power rules, a power we feeble humans are unable to understand but that we are supposed to cherish - is a faith based pseudoreligious behaviour. There is nothing wrong with that - I accept religious faith and people who follow it in most cases, but I am annoyed by the attempts from people who believe in this kind of faith to keep telling me that it is the truth (TM), that this is what is real, what will happen - and that it is of course more real than other faiths. And my annoyance is universal in that I could not stand the same from other religions either. Science is a tool, a way to view the world. It can observe and interpret the world. In that it is a real thing. Technology that exists now is a set of tools, that we can look at and see what it does or does not and what effects it has. But that is it. Do take the future and claim that all problems will be gone in the future because of improved technology and science is faith and hope and to base present day activities on faith and hope seems awfully un-scientific to me. Quote:
Jevons paradox - I think the implications of that go beyond consumption of meat. Think about energy for example. Quote:
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Sorry, I'll get to the other post in a moment. I can't digest the big wall of text ATM.
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It does, however, work as a multitude of things interacting together. :D Quote:
Bandwidth is bandwidth, IMO. It doesn't really matter if you're using 30 different methods of communication if my one has a rate 100x faster. Quote:
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I'm fairly sure it was implied that that was exactly what Jake did do in the scene just before the big battle with the bulldozers. :P Quote:
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Clarke - I am very reluctant to reply at all. That tendency to fragment posts into bits and pieces and refuse to reply in a more coherent matter annoys me. I guess it is your nature, your worldview that facilitates that. The reductionist approach, to divide the world into little pieces and analyze them seperately. By that you miss the point of the arguments I make by taking single sentences out of context and even reply to some of them with a completely independent argument that was not part of the original discourse.
I just wrote a lengthy reply, but I deleted it, because I think it is rather pointless. You picked out tiny details of my argument and start to debate about failures in my metaphors or thought experiments, that I just used to illustrate something else. I am not willing to discuss the reaction of a 13th century person that is given a piece of 21st century technology when the argument I was trying to make with that whole paragraph was something else altogether, namely the potential of any time, including our own to solve its problems and shortcomings with other means than technological development and that the expectations to technological development are overestimated, distracting from reality and taking energy and motivation away from creating real change here and now instead in some distant future. But I guess you are more interested in nitpicking than actually debating over the philosophy of these things, the same is true for the second part, in which I was trying to explain a philosophical way how to see the world as a living being rather than a stupid rock tumbling through space that just was lucky enough to have life long enough for humans to evolve, the great species that will finally bring order to the world and establish a balance. You nitpick at my statement that Jake did not talk to Eywa and so we here cannot talk to "Gaia" by saing that he did in fact do so. Did he get an answer? No.There is no two way vocal or mental communication in that way. Processing power is about speed not bandwidth? Not really - parallel processing is very powerful. There is a section in the human brain that processes ideas? How does that change the point I was making that even these parts are on a biological level "just cells connected by neurons". The point is that by looking only at the dissected brain, you cannot see ideas or thoughts. So by looking at only the material parts of Nature in a statical way, you can also not see her thoughts and ideas. But as I said, these ponderings are more philosophy than science and are coming from a thinking that is more holistic, encompassing and connecting rather diametrally opposite of what you look for - chopping things up in bits and pieces, seperating them all from each other and then make claims from that fragmented world. This could be an interesting debate comparable to Goethe and Newton with very different understandings of natural sciences, but the style of debate you try to use - taking a reply and analyzing it sentence by sentence - is not one I am willing to follow neither do I have the time to clarify each misunderstanding you have about each of these sentences that would make sense if you read and comment on the whole paragraph. So I will leave it at that, unless there is interest by others to explore the idea of a sentient Earth, a really existing Eywa on our planet. |
Parallel processing has a limit, not to mention the law of diminishing returns. When each parallel process is reduced to a single logical operation, you can not get further than that.
By looking at a brain, data IS represented neurochemically. For that matter, it is only by understanding a basis that you can build up a conclusion in the first place. An argument can not be considered if its constituent points are unable to stand on their own - excessive verbosity and combining points only serves to make it harder to parse with an intent to counter. |
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Also I am not trying to make a scientific point here. If you want to talk about the science of the existence of Eywa or something similar on Earth, then that is a short discussion - there is no peer reviewed study that has proven that something like that exists. Case solved. But I think that is limiting ones possibilities to only look at the conclusion one way of learning knowledge provides and only to look at what it has provided up to now. I am not making a claim that there conclusively is something like Eywa on Earth, but I want to explore the possibility in a more nature-philosophical way. On Pandora, it was a bit easier for Grace, she could poke needles into trees and take a reading. But even for her, the existence of a planetary consciousness was only a theory. It could not be proven. She did not manage to conclusively lay proof that the network of trees is anything but a dumb connection of individual plants by which they exchange simple information about predators or insects attacking. She believed that there is more (and was called basically a pothead for that), but the only way she got to know that it really is so was when she experienced it herself, when she died, when she could finally say "she exists". So I dont know how it is on Earth, but I desire to consider the possibility, maybe ina more philosophical way, though I also look for science as a tool to describe the interactions we see. One could also go to other cultures. Many indigenous cultures when you ask them how they know about the healing properties of a plant will tell you that the natural world, or the plant itself told them so. They claim a communication there, that allowed them to find among millions of rainforest plants the one that helps against some sickness. Maybe they are all superstitious liars, but I would not put this off that easily, as Grace did not put off the claims of the NA'Vi that there does not just exist a connection and communication between plants and animals, but that there is something behind or within that connection. Now about argueing or debating: Quote:
I dont even mind to argue each point and describe why it is able to stand on its own, but I am tired of making a point and then be nitpicked upon semantics or the metaphors I was using to describe them. Like that point about telling 13th century people about the possibilities our time has and analyzing what their expectations would be if they are given that possibilities. Instead of argueing against or with that analysis, the reply goes on about how they would surely not believe it or how someone showing them a piece of technology would be burned as a witch. That is totally besides the point and draws the argument from social expectations, utopian thinking and hopes for future developments into possible reactions of individual people to some time traveller. That way my arguments and conclusions are not just broken down in parts, but each part is then derailed and 3 posts later I am facing myself debating over something that has zip to do with the original topic, which has gotten lost and not really argued against. This is for me not a fruitful debate then. |
Re: reductionism, I've got a really simple example here: pure water being wet. Water's wetness is a consequence of a whole bunch of phenomenon, like surface tension, viscosity, and density. (This becomes more obvious when you start dealing with superfluids, which have no viscosity.) However, all of those phenomenon are a consequence of exactly one thing: electromagnetism. Even the shape of the water molecule itself is a consequence of this single force. However, electromagnetism cannot be studied in any practical way by considering the water as a continuous object. It must be torn apart into its component phenomena to produce any sort of rigorous picture of its workings. That isn't to say all these "high-level" things about water don't exist, but that they are merely consequences of more fundamental interactions. The high-level phenomena can be inferred and demonstrated from the low-level fundamentals, but the reverse is AFAIK nigh-impossible. Reductionist science works, in the end, and it works far more effectively than any other method ever devised. It is not infallible, but no other system of study rivals its ability to arrive at conclusions that reflect reality.
Re: 13th century people, I'm sorry for not elaborating on what I was going for, which was your objection to the "magical" technology proposed earlier. This also links into the concept of First World Problems: there will be problems in 50, or 100, or 500 years, but they will appear inconceivably minor to us. IMO, neither of us can possibly predict what the world will be like in 50 years, let alone 100, since we will probably understate development. Look at Avatar itself: we've cracked biological engineering, we can mix human and alien genetics with impunity! ...yet, the Earth is still polluted. How? This is pretty similar to an Asimov story where a man is given a fully sentient, fully humanoid robot to operate a mechanical typewriter. :P Neither author caught on to the other ways that the technology, or its prerequisites, could be used, and so their worlds break down under scrutiny. Obviously, RL does not break down under scrutiny, and so it is incredibly likely that neither of us can possibly imagine the problems being faced by 2050, let alone 2150. The 13th century people would not be entirely correct in their utopian vision of the 21st century, but they'd be largely right in that it has more freedom, more wealth, and more leisure time. (Keeping in mind that world population is 8 or so times larger than it was then) Even the predictions of the 1960s were partially right; humanoid robots don't do our work for us, but machines do. Consider this: a family car is equivalent to group of about 300 slaves, in terms of effort. That's entire villages of people, per family, (or even per individual!) just for carting us around from place to place! And we pay "them" a few hundred dollars a year, when actual humans are (in the US) paid tens of thousands of dollars a year! Imagine if you told Julius Caesar that you had 300 slaves just for carting you around. :P If he believed you, he'd probably think (quite accurately) that you were wealthier than the entire Roman Empire put together. Re: holinism, what does it gain? What predictions does it make, and what solutions does it present? Looking at Gaia as a single communicative entity is completely useless if it doesn't tell us anything about it. There is (possibly) a problem with the way the world is running ATM, but reductionist science doesn't have the data to concoct a confident solution, and holistic philosophy doesn't seem to say anything other than "Leave it alone," with no reasoning behind why that would be beneficial. What is the point of holistic thinking, when reductionism will, eventually, produce a solution? |
On Past, Present and Future... (p1)
On Past, Present and Future... (p1)
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Like freedom from opression, self sustainability, real friendship, community. These do not depend on technology. They can happen at any time. People could have great communal living with friendship, good food, adequate health, low working hours and the freedom to travel everywhere - no matter if that community lives on medieval farming and travel happen by horse or if the community is programming software and travels by airplane. What makes people happy are not the airplanes or the computer programming and they are not required either. And that is my point - not that it may not also work with planes and computers and that this leads to other ways people relate but that it is not REQUIRED. So new technological development may be good or bad or fun or whatever - they are not required however to make people happier or to solve the problems of this world at this time. Quote:
Good Science Fiction is also not at all about predicting the future correctly. It is about showing the present in a different light. This is especially true for Asimov but also for Cameron. The story of Avatar was not that of how space travel will be, it was about how people are, how they act in certain situations, it is about indigenous struggles, about people looking at the natural world in terms of resources instead of life, about capitalism, about community and connectedness. Technology in good Science Fiction is used as a narrative tool. Of course, some SciFi specifically tries to interpolate social or technological developments into the future - either to warn of potential negative developments or to create some fascinating utopian dreams. So if nobody now can predict the problems faced by 2050, as you said, then I think one thing remains and that is that we know the problems of the present. And because we not only do not know the problems of the future, but also not the solutions of the future, we have to work with the solutions we have at our hands now to solve the problems we have now. Quote:
And the 300 slaves to pull that cart - they are just wasteful, because the same task - transporting a person and some goods from one place to another can be done by walking or by a horse cart just as well - the additional input is not a requirement, but a luxury (and one that only 5% of the world population have access to). |
On Holism, Gaia and Reductionism.... (p2)
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Back to your example - to learn about water, you can look at these electromagnetic effects for sure, the tiny bits, the little ones. You can learn about water in another way too though - you can describe its properties and behaviour without using electromagnetics. Of course you would miss some things. This is why Goethe - and I agree there - said that materialistic and reductionist science is supposed to be a part of natural science - the most crude tool we have. It breaks apart things into bits and pieces and then looks at the pieces. What is important though, and often forgotten is that it was not these bits that we were interested in the first place, but that we started looking at the thing that was originally whole. So holistic thinking then, or holistic science means that one looks at the whole again and keeps the whole of it in mind. The information one gets by the little bits may contribute to it, but they are not all there is. modern science has turned natural science into only that tool, it is all about reductionist, tearing-apart brute force discovery (and application) and dropped the other part that originally were part of natural philosophy (or natural science as we would call it today). It does not mean one has to "believe in a sentient Gaia" or something, but it means that one should consider things that we would call philosophy more. In the model of university studies in Germany up to fairly recently it was possible and students were encouraged to participate in many fields. This follows an ideal of a science that goes beyond a single field. Scientists used to be not just biologists, but also were interested in history, anthropology, palaeontology and maybe astronomy. They might also take a look at philosophy or linguistics. Later on, and in the US earlier on, this disappeared and was replaced by an increasing specialization. Again I think this "works" - people spend all their time studying just one field and become "better" in it. But better to what end - to me it seems the target is not anymore to gain knowledge, but to find application and means to manipulate the world. It is not about exploring but about controlling. And this is why I think a more holistic approach to science is urgently needed, because the way science and technology works now is leading to devastation. Quote:
And just as a final remark - the statement that "reductionism will, eventually, produce a solution" is a bold claim - one that I cannot refute I guess because you put it into the (distant?) future. But that was one of my main points in the whole discourse here, that this kind of thinking is damaging - that to use the future as a foundation for actions in the present makes no sense. Its like building a house upside down, hoping or claiming that once we are finished, certainly we will find a way to build its foundations into the thin air. Sadly, this post was again off topic largely, I tried to return to the topic with previous posts, but I guess the views expressed by searching for "Eywa on Earth" are too controversial to just leave it at that topic :( |
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