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Old 08-20-2011, 12:30 AM
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Human No More Human No More is offline
Toruk Makto, Admin
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by auroraglacialis View Post
Yeah right. That is why the reality of climate change effects usually are happening above the projected impacts coming out of climate science.
But yes of course - scientists will usually tell what will happen if nothing is done - because obviously the goal is to make people do something. The reason why the predictions of biologists in the 1980ies that the forests of Europe will die from acid rain did not come true was that people acted upon that and stopped making acid rain. With climate change, this is not happening. I dont know if upon these predictions about the soalr flares people will come and create safeguards for their technology that could protect it - maybe but maybe not.
What, so there's no acid rain now?

Wow, I thought you'd know that better. A reduction in emissions per capita can still be an increase, and you are ignoring the fact that MANY predictions are still patently false and occasionally not even based on simulations or extrapolations.

As Isard said, if every mitigated disaster was announced, there would be nothing else. Newspapers would be full of 'newly opened bridge will not collapse' and 'minor building fire will not spread to rest of country'. Occasionally, a potential scenario gets blown way out of proportion and people pick up on it, only for there to be no or negligible effect. Remember the Y2K scare? Yet (nearly) nothing happened, and many of the people who believed it would believed things that were impossible, such as planes crashing simply because the date was displayed in an incorrect format (as it is, many non-compliant systems simply displayed '19100' and continued as before, because 99 is not a value that will cause an integer overflow, as anyone with even a rudimentary knowledge of binary arithmetic could tell you).
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